A majority of voters younger than 30 said they were voting in a midterm for the first time. Meanwhile, many new voters this year were young. (Exit polls offer the first look at who voted in an election, a portrait that will be refined over time as more data, such as state voter files, become available.)Ģ About a quarter of Hispanics who cast a ballot in 2018 (27%) said they were voting in a midterm for the first time, compared with 18% of black voters and 12% of white voters, according to the exit polls. Among other racial and ethnic groups, a lower share of whites (44%) voted for Democrats in congressional races compared with blacks (90%) and Asians (77%). In a Pew Research Center pre-election survey, 62% of Latinos said they identify with or lean toward the Democratic Party compared with 27% who affiliated with the Republican Party. These results largely reflect the party affiliation of Latinos. congressional races nationwide, an estimated 69% of Latinos voted for the Democratic candidate and 29% backed the Republican candidate, a more than two-to-one advantage for Democrats, according to National Election Pool exit poll data. Here are key takeaways about Latino voters and the 2018 elections.ġ In U.S. While it’s too soon to know how many voted and their turnout rate, Latinos made up an estimated 11% of all voters nationwide on Election Day, nearly matching their share of the U.S. A record 29 million Latinos were eligible to vote in this year’s midterm elections, accounting for 12.8% of all eligible voters, a new high. Latinos make up an increasing share of the U.S. (Mindy Schauer/Digital First Media/Orange County Register via Getty Images) 24 at an early voting event for students in Norwalk, California. The last two midterms to feature participation rates near or above 50% were 1914, the year World War I began, and 1966, during the Civil Rights movement.Destiny Martinez, 18, voted for the first time on Oct. Voter participation rates in midterm elections have historically spiked in the midst of substantial political events. Voters without college degrees made up 59% of CNN’s House election respondents in 2018, up from 49% in 2014. Exit polls can be flawed, but they suggest Latinos, who lean toward Democrats, made up 11% of House voters in 2018, versus 8% in 2014, according to CNN exit polls, while 35% of respondents were white men (who tend to vote Republican), down slightly from 37% in 2014. 6 was that Democratic-leaning demographic groups that sometimes skip midterm elections showed up. In the 2014 midterms, when former President Barack Obama occupied the White House, 39.8 million Republicans voted, compared to 35.4 million Democrats. “And so that’s how we get these really close outcomes in some of the states.”Ībout 51.7 million Democrats voted in midterm House races this year versus 47.4 million Republicans, according to data from the Washington Post. “Yes, there was a blue wave, but the red wave from 20 really didn’t dissipate either,” McDonald said. Much of the gain was due to mobilization among Democrats, whose supporters often vote at lower rates in midterm elections than in presidential years. The total number of votes jumped 30 million from the last midterm election in 2014, when voter turnout was less than 37%. “The only logical explanation for the thing that has changed is Donald Trump.” So clearly, something has changed here in our politics,” McDonald said. “In a typical midterm election, where the President’s party is overseeing an economy that is on sound footing, you would not expect high turnout. Michael McDonald, a political science professor at University of Florida who tracks data for the Elections Project, said President Donald Trump was the main reason for the surge.
For midterm participation rates above that, you’d have to look as far back as 1914. If that percentage holds after all ballots are accounted for, it would surpass the 48.7% turnout in 1966. The United States Elections Project estimates that 49.2% of eligible voters cast ballots in the midterms.
0 kommentar(er)
